Access Part I here: https://www.reddit.com/Forex/comments/h0iwbu/part_i_my_10_minuteday_trading_strategy/submitted by ParallaxFX to Forex [link] [comments]
Welcome to Part II of this ongoing series. How many parts will there be? No idea. At least 4-5, I guess. I'd rather have this broken down into digestible chunks than just fire hose you with information.
Part I was really just a primer. If I'm using the whole baking a cake analogy, then in Part I we covered what kind of cake we're baking. I will not cover in this post where we look for entries and exits, that's coming next. Part II is going to cover what ingredients we need and why we need those ingredients in greater detail.
What Kind Of Strategy Is This Again?It's my 10 minutes per day, trading strategy. I think the beauty of this strategy is that it allows you to take a good number of trader per week without having to commit an inordinate amount of time to the screens. This is both a mean reversion and trend-continuation based strategy. It is dead simple to learn and apply. I'd expect a 10 year old to be able to make money with this.
The List Of Ingredients & Why We Use These Particular Ingredients
*I will have an image at the end of the post showing a textbook long and short setup*
Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands (BB) have a base line (standard is the 20SMA, which is also what we will use for this strategy) and two other trend lines (known as the upper Bollinger band [UBB] and lower Bollinger band [LBB]) plotted 2 standard deviations away from the 20SMA. The idea behind BB is deviously simple - the vast majority of price action, approx. 90%, takes place in between the two bands. In other words, when price trades off the UBB or LBB, you could consider prices to be overbought/oversold. However, just because something is OVERbought does NOT mean its run is OVER. Therefore we need additional tools to make sure we are using the BB as effectively as possible. TLDR: BB help contextualize where to look for our technical setups using this strategy. Finding the candle/bar pattern is not enough. We need to make sure the setup is in the 'right' part of the chart. We accomplish that using the BB.
Stochastic Oscillator: The Stochastic Oscillator (Stochs) is a secondary momentum indicator. Because it is an oscillator that means the signals it generates are range-bound between 0 and 100. There are tons of momentum indicators out there. Theoretically you could swap out the Stochs for RSI or MACD. My hunch is that you won't see a measurable statistical difference in performance if you do. So why Stochs? Because I like the fact you have the %K and %D lines (you can think of them as moving averages) and the fact that the %K and %D lines crossover is a helpful visual aid. Like any other momentum indicator, the Stochs will generate overbought and oversold signals. We use the Stochs to help back up what the BB are telling us. If price is trading at, or even broken out of, the UBB and Stochs are also veeeery overbought that can be potentially useful information. It doesn't mean we have a trade necessarily, but it is a helpful piece of data.
Fibonacci Retracement & Extension Tool: This tool is OPTIONAL. The only reason I use this tool for this strategy is to integrate a mechanistic means of entry and exit. In other words, we can use fibonacci levels to place limit orders for entry and profit taking, and a stop order to get us out for our pre-defined risk allocation to each particular trade. If you DON'T want to use the fibs, that is perfectly okay. It just means you will add a more discretionary layer to this strategy
Candlestick/Bar Patterns: There isn't a whole lot to say here. We look for ONE formation over, and over, and over again. An indecision bar (small body, doesn't close on its highs or lows) followed by the setup bar which is an outside bar or an engulfing bar. It doesn't particularly matter if the setup bar is an engulfing bar or outside bar. What matters is that for a long trade the setup bar makes a HIGHER HIGH and has a HIGHER CLOSE relative to the indecision bar. The opposite for a short trade setup. The bar formation is what ultimately serves as the trigger for placing orders to take a trade.
*MOVING ON* Now We Get Into The Setup Itself:There are 3 places where we look for trades using this strategy:
There will be other nuances I will cover in terms of how to make the strategy more effective in Part 3. For example, I will go into much more detail about how the shape of the BB can tell us a lot about whether a currency pair is likely to reverse or not. I will also cover how to gauge the strength of the setup candle and a few other tips and tricks.
Technical Nuances: You can overlay a lot of other traditional technical analysis on top of the above. For example you can look for short trades off the UBB in conjunction with a prior broken support level that you now expect to be working overhead resistance. If you want to go further and deeper, of course you can. Note: the above is about as far as I went when overlaying other kinds of analysis onto this strategy. I like to keep it simple, stupid.
TEXTBOOK LONG TRADE OFF LBB:
TEXTBOOK SHORT TRADE OFF UBB:
TRADE OFF MBB:
And that's a wrap for Part II.
We have reached a deep point in the retrace of the GBPUSD move, and hit an area that tends to be somewhere people lose money.submitted by whatthefx to Forex [link] [comments]
We are now trading at the 50% fib, and forming some short term reversal looking patterns here. It might reverse, but it's more likely it will stall at the 50%, make a false sell off and then spike out these early sellers and then reverse from the 61.8%.
I explained this 50% - 61.8% spike out trap in this post https://www.reddit.com/Forex/comments/cko0d1/shorting_noobs_tweaks_improvements_and_parabolic/ (and others in that series in more detail)
A forecast of this specific GBPUSD move to this point was made in this post, as well as explaining in a lot more detail how we can see this is a likely scenario before it happens based on commonalities in moves that have formed like this after a trending move. https://www.reddit.com/Forex/comments/ctifde/forecasting_the_end_of_major_corrections_and/
This is a good time for us to do two things.
1 - Set small pending orders on the level, just in case it pings it and then crashes quickly.
2 - Set alerts on this level so we are told when price meets there. Then we can use price action confirmation strategies to enter into moves with less chance of being whipsawed (because, remember, this level usually spikes us out if we are arbitrary in it's use. No easy meals in the market. It'll shake you out if it can.
We are looking for classic things. Double tops. Pin bars. Engulfing candles. 1 tick trap spike outs. All of these sorts of things on 15 min and 5 min charts on this level give us a 10 pips stop (20 if you want space) and we have at least 30 pips to the low (target one). If we are to continue trending we should see the next fall dropping at least 50 pips from the entry. Good trade. 1.1986 is the area we have the first big risk of a retracement, this seems like a good target area.
From there, if we bounce a little, we can scalp for a slightly lower low around 1.1820. Then we stop selling. This is a strong risk of a bounce against us area. This is probably where I look for buys on the GBPUSD.
Remember the price action should look strongly bullish as it meets the 61.8 and possibly spikes it out a little bit. It is a horrible place to buy. Prepare, and do not panic. That's the only real secret to profiting in the market, IMO.
Forex Bullish Engulfing Pattern Trade Example In this trade, you could have potentially earned a 150 pip profit and risked less than 60 ticks in the process making this a 2.5:1 risk to reward. And what made this even better was the fact that we had a defined risk level, that was coupled with a strong prior support region. If "Bullish Engulfing Bar" appears near the support line, go long. Loss cut is done by updating the low price of "Bullish Engulfing Bar". Take profits near the resistance line. For shorts, do the opposite. Attached Image. Attached Image (click to enlarge) In order to know the sign quickly, I made a simple indicator. If "Bullish Engulfing Bar" and "Bearish Engulfing Bar" appears, it is an ... Bullish engulfing bar is formed when candle whose body, the open and close engulfs the previous candle’s body. Conversely, a bearish engulfing pattern is characterized by a bearish candle whose body engulfs the previous candle’s body. Read more about Engulfing bar in our article here>> Profit F offer you free download 2 EngulfingBar indicators for MetaTrader 4 platform. 1) First ... Bullish Engulfing Bar. To be valid, the engulfing bar can engulf multiple candles, but to be considered an engulfing bar it must as a minimum completely engulf the previous candle. Traders can often get confused with the different candles and wicks when it comes to the engulfing bar. It should not be confusing. The engulfing bar should have a higher high than the previous candle and a lower ... Download Engulfing Bar indicator for MT4. Engulfing Pattern Definition, Engulfing-Candlestick Pattern meaning. What Is “Engulfing Candlestick Pattern” in Forex? The engulfing candlestick patterns, bullish or bearish are one of the easiest of candlestick reversal patterns to identify. Because these candlestick patterns are two-candlestick patterns, they are more valid and are often looked ... One important skill as a a forex trader is the ability to spot reversal patterns when they form. One of the popular reversal pattern is the bullish engulfing pattern and the bullish engulfing pattern forex trading strategy is built around that pattern.. This pattern consists of 2 candlesticks, the first one is bearish and the second one is bullish. Bullish Engulfing Potential Buy Signal. There are three main times when a trader might buy using the Bullish Engulfing Pattern; the buy signals that are presented below are ordered from the most aggressive to most conservative: A trader might buy at the close of Day 2 when prices rallied upwards from the gap down in the morning. The bullish engulfing pattern is one of my favorite reversal patterns in the Forex market. I have previously written about how to trade the bearish engulfing pattern, and as you might expect there are many similarities between the two. As similar as they may be, I believe each deserves its own spotlight given the significance of the pattern. For example; if it is a bullish engulfing bar, then the best bullish engulfing bars would close in the upper 1/3 indicating that price has closed strongly. This indicates that price has closed strongly in the direction that the trader wants to trade in. Example of High Quality Engulfing Bars When combined on high time frames such as weekly and daily charts, and used with correct money ... Pola engulfing candle sering dijumpai saat kita ber-trading forex, baik pada time frame daily atau pada time frame yang lebih rendah. Trader harian sering kali mengambil keuntungan dari pola ini sebagai sinyal untuk entry. Selain mudah diamati, probabilitas trading dengan pola engulfing candle cukup tinggi terutama pada keadaan pasar yang sedang trending. Ada 2 jenis pola engulfing candle ...
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The bullish engulfing pattern is reversal patterns that appears at the bottom of a down-trend and comprises of two candles - the first, prior black candle and the second, larger white candle. In ... You will learn how to identify and dissociate the real BULLISH ENGULFING BAR from the fake one. You will learn the best places to set your STOP LOSS when trading the BULLISH ENGULFING BAR. 95% Winning Forex Trading Formula ... Make a Living in 1 Hour a Day Trading the 3 Bar Play!! - Duration: 34:34. Live Traders 1,861,677 views. 34:34. Advanced Candlestick Chart PatternsTechnical ... The Forex Engulfing candle pattern indicator is know to have strong reversal potential. This is why it is among the candle patterns that open new potential on the chart. Check out our video that ... All about Trading in Forex Marked Bullish Engulfing" and "Bearish Engulfing Pattern Trading System _____ Downl... In this video, we have discussed a price action trading strategy with bullish & bearish engulfing bar trading strategy by trading marathon please watch out t... Bullish engulfing bar strategy- Part- 2 telegram link---- https://t.me/joinchat/AAAAAEZe15YzyUZfx5xtjQ #forex #forexlifestyle #forextrader Want to join the A1 Trading Team? See trades taken by our top trading analysts, join our live trading chatroom, and acces... Bullish Engulfing is a two bar bullish reversal pattern and develops after a down leg. The first bar has a small real body and is followed by a second bullis...